Election Day 2026 is still well over a year away, but it’s never too soon to start assembling our PoliticsPA congressional vulnerability rankings for the Pennsylvania delegation in the U.S. House.
For the ninth election cycle dating back to 2010, PoliticsPA is publishing congressional vulnerability rankings for Pennsylvania’s delegation. This is our first handicapping of the 2024 election cycle; we’ll update it periodically as the cycle progresses.
We begin the 2026 cycle with four seats in the “Vulnerable” category, which is our second highest after “Highly vulnerable.” The No. 1 most vulnerable on our list is four-term Republican Rep. Scott Perry, followed in descending order by fellow Republican Reps. Ryan Mackenzie, Rob Bresnahan and Brian Fitzpatrick.